Tag: Grocery

  • Breaking Down Grocery Discounts This Black Friday

    Breaking Down Grocery Discounts This Black Friday

    As shoppers flocked online and to stores during Black Friday and Cyber Monday, the grocery category stood out as a key battleground for retailers. With inflation affecting consumer spending, discounted groceries have become a critical driver for both shopper savings and retailer competitiveness.

    In fact, according to the NRF, one of the top shopping destinations during Thanksgiving weekend were department stores (42%), online (42%),and grocery stores and supermarkets (40%). Clearly, consumers are looking to stock up in bulk on their groceries to maximize their savings.

    To understand the pricing dynamics in the grocery category, DataWeave analyzed grocery discounts across leading grocers, uncovering significant trends that shaped consumer choices during this holiday shopping period.

    Our research encompassed retailers like Amazon, Target, and Walmart, examining their discounting strategies across subcategories, alongside trends in share of search for leading CPG companies.

    Also check out our detailed analysis of discounts and pricing for health & beauty and home & furniture this Black Friday.

    Key Grocery Market Stats for Black Friday-Cyber Monday 2024

    • Retailer Discounts: Walmart offered the highest average absolute discount at 27.6%, followed by Amazon at 20.4% and Target at 14.0%
    • Subcategory Insights: Beverages Category at Walmart saw the deepest discounts, with an average of 33.4%
    • Top Gaining Brands: Cesar experienced the largest increase in share of search during the sales period (+3.89%)

    This blog will dive deeper into grocery discount trends and brand-level strategies, offering insights for retailers looking to stay competitive in the grocery sector.

    Our Methodology

    For this analysis, we tracked the average discounts offered by major U.S. grocery retailers during the Thanksgiving weekend, including Black Friday and Cyber Monday. We focused on key subcategories within the grocery segment, capturing trends in discounting strategies.

    • Sample Size: 18,324 SKUs
    • Retailers Tracked: Amazon, Walmart, Target
    • Subcategories Reported On: Fresh Produce, Dairy & Eggs, Pantry Essentials, Snacks, Frozen Foods, Meat & Seafood, Household Essentials, Beverages, Pet Products, Baby Products
    • Timeline of Analysis: November 10 to 29, 2024

    In the following insights, the Absolute Discount represents the reduction of the selling price compared to the Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price (MSRP). The Additional Discount reflects how much lower the selling price is during Black Friday compared to its price a week before the sale. This metric reveals the actual or effective value of the sale event, beyond the standard discounts typically offered.

    Key Findings

    Retailer-Level Insights

    Average Discounts Across Leading Grocery Retailers - Black Friday Cyber Monday 2024
    • Walmart emerged as the leader in grocery discounting, offering the highest average absolute (27.6%) and additional (18%) discounts.
    • Amazon adopted a mid-tier discounting strategy, with average absolute discounts of 20.4%.
    • Target, while more conservative, maintained competitiveness in select subcategories like baby products.

    Subcategory Insights

    Average Discounts Across Leading Grocery Retailer Subcategories - Black Friday Cyber Monday 2024
    • Pantry Essentials saw Walmart leading with an average discount of 31.2%, appealing to budget-conscious consumers stocking up for the holidays.
    • Fresh Produce showed consistent discounting across retailers, with Amazon slightly ahead at 27%.
    • Beverages stood out for significant discounting at Walmart, with an impressive 33.4% average discount.

    Brand-Level Insights

    Average Discounts Across Leading Grocery Brands - Black Friday Cyber Monday 2024
    • Lay’s led in absolute discounts (37.52%) and additional discounts (26.23%) showcasing aggressive pricing in the snacks subcategory.
    • Good & Gather maintained its competitive edge with strong discounts, appealing to price-conscious consumers seeking value.
    • Brands like Blue Buffalo (pet food brand) offered significant absolute discounts, but with a low additional discount of just 2%, the overall impact of the sale event on effective value was limited.

    Share of Search Insights

    Gains and Losses in Share of Search Across Leading Grocery Brands - Black Friday Cyber Monday 2024
    • Cesar (dog food brand), Tide (laundry staple) and Doritos saw significant gains in share of search, reflecting successful promotional strategies.
    • Brands like Pampers (baby diapers brand), Healthy Choice, (frozen foods brand) and Pedigree (pet food brand) experienced a decline, indicating less effective engagement during the sale period.

    Who offered the lowest prices?

    In the previous analysis, we focused on the top 500 products within each subcategory for each retailer, showcasing the discount strategies for their highlighted or featured items. However, to identify which retailer offered the lowest or highest prices for the same set of products, it’s necessary to match items across retailers. For this, we analyzed a separate dataset of 1433 matched products across retailers to compare their pricing during Black Friday. This approach provides a clearer picture of price leadership and competitiveness across categories.

    Here are the key takeaways from this analysis.

    Category-Level Analysis

    Retailers Offering Most Value - Lowest Priced - Grocery - Black Friday 2024
    • Walmart is the lowest priced retailer overall for the grocery category, with an impressive average discount of 44.60%. This significant discount advantage makes Walmart a leading option for value-seeking consumers.
    • Target follows with strong discounts of 36.73%, indicating solid pricing in comparison but less aggressive than Walmart.
    • Interestingly, Amazon was the most expensive in Grocery, with an average discount of only 6.3%.

    Subcategory-Level Analysis

    Lowest Priced Retailer Across Major Subcategories- Grocery - Black Friday 2024
    • Walmart leads in various subcategories such as Pet Products (21.12%), Dairy & Eggs (13.79%), Household Essentials (13.05%), Frozen Foods (15.07%), and Meat & Seafood (17.60%), showcasing its extensive value across the board.
    • Target excels in Beverages (14.58%) and Baby Products (15.00%) with competitive discounts, standing out in these specific subcategories.
    • Kroger provides notable value in Pantry Essentials (20.04%) and Fresh Produce (15.85%), although its overall average discount is lower than Walmart’s.
    • Amazon consistently ranks lower in terms of average discounts across most subcategories, highlighting it as less competitive for consumers seeking the lowest prices.

    Brand-Level Analysis

    Lowest Priced Retailer Across Leading Brands- Grocery - Black Friday 2024
    • Walmart also holds the top position for several key brands like Cheetos (14.92%) and Dannon (8.81%), making it the best option for consumers looking for budget-friendly choices across popular brands.
    • Target takes the lead for brands like Betty Crocker (25.20%) and Chobani (11.37%), showing that it can offer value for specific products.
    • Kroger maintains strong discounts for brands such as Delmonte (9.19%), but it does not outpace Walmart in the overall grocery brand comparison.
    • Amazon generally lags behind in average discounts for most brands, with Dannon (1.12%) and Chobani (2.43%) showing significantly lower discounts.

    Walmart is the lowest priced retailer in the grocery category and provides substantial value across a wide range of subcategories and popular brands. This ties in with Walmart’s ELDP pricing strategy. The retailer leads in overall average discounts and maintains its position as the go-to for price-conscious consumers. Target offers strong value in certain subcategories and brands but falls short of Walmart’s broad value based pricing advantages.

    What’s Next

    For grocery retailers, competitive pricing and targeted promotions are critical to driving sales during key shopping events. As consumers continue to prioritize value, staying ahead in the discounting game can significantly impact market share.

    For detailed insights into grocery discounting strategies and to explore how DataWeave’s solutions can help retailers optimize their pricing, contact us today!

    Stay tuned to our blog for further analyses of other categories during Black Friday and Cyber Monday.

  • Mastering Grocery Pricing Intelligence: A Strategic Approach for Modern Retailers

    Mastering Grocery Pricing Intelligence: A Strategic Approach for Modern Retailers

    When egg prices surged 70% during the 2023 avian flu outbreak, grocery retailers faced a critical dilemma: maintain margins and risk losing customers, or absorb costs and watch profits evaporate. Similarly, rising olive oil and chocolate prices also had domino effects, cascading down from retailers to consumers. In each of these scenarios, those with sophisticated pricing intelligence systems adapted swiftly, finding the sweet spot between competitiveness and profitability. Others weren’t so fortunate.

    This scenario continues to play out daily across thousands of products in the grocery sector. From breakfast cereals to fresh produce to bottled water, retailers must orchestrate pricing across a variety of categories – each with its own competitive dynamics, margin requirements, and price sensitivity patterns.

    The Evolution of Grocery Pricing Intelligence

    Imagine these scenarios in the grocery industry:

    • Milk prices spike during a supply shortage.
    • Your competitor drops egg prices by 20%.
    • Fresh produce costs fluctuate with an unseasonable frost.

    For grocery retailers, these aren’t occasional challenges—they’re Tuesday. Reacting to each pricing crisis as it comes isn’t just exhausting—it’s a recipe for shrinking margins and missed opportunities.

    Think of it this way: If you’re constantly playing defense with your pricing strategy, you’re already two steps behind. Commoditized items like milk and eggs face intense price competition, while seasonal products and fresh produce demand constant attention. Simply matching competitor prices or adjusting for cost changes isn’t enough anymore. What’s needed is a proactive approach that anticipates market shifts before they happen and turns pricing challenges into competitive advantages. This is where price management comes in.

    Price management has transformed from simple competitor checks into a strategic power play that can make or break a retailer’s market position. Weekly manual adjustments have given way to a long-term strategic view, driven by data analytics and market intelligence. Here are the basics of how price management in grocery retail works today.

    Three Pillars of Grocery Price Management

    1. Smart Data Collection: Building Your Foundation

    The journey begins with comprehensive data collection and storage across your entire product ecosystem. This means:

    • Complete Coverage Of All SKUs Across All Stores: Tracking prices for all SKUs across all stores, with particular attention to high-velocity items and volatile categories.
    • Dynamic Monitoring: Tracking prices across different time frequencies as grocery prices are highly volatile for different categories. So daily tracking for volatile items like dairy and produce, and weekly for more stable categories may be needed.
    • Competitive Intelligence: Gathering data not just on prices, but on promotions, pack sizes, and private label alternatives.
    • Infrastructure to Support Large Volumes of Data: Partnering with external data and analytics providers to bridge the gap when retailers struggle with the scale of digital infrastructure these data sets require.

    2. Intelligent Data Refinement: Making Sense of the Numbers

    Raw data alone isn’t enough—it needs context and structure to become actionable intelligence. This is called Data Refinement—the process of establishing meaningful relationships within the data to facilitate the extraction of valuable insights. This refinement stage is closely tied to the data collection strategy, as the quality and depth of the insights derived depend on the accuracy and coverage of the collected data.

    Data refinement includes several key processes:

    Advanced Product Matching

    Picture this: You’re tracking a competitor’s pricing on organic apples. Simple, right? Not quite. Yes, Universal Product Codes (UPCs) and Price Lookup Codes (PLUs) are present in Grocery to standardize product identification across different retailers—unlike the fashion industry’s endless style variations. Still, product matching isn’t as straightforward as scanning barcodes.

    Grocery Pricing Intelligence data faces a challenge when product names, weights, and details differ

    Here’s the catch: many retailer websites don’t display them. Then there’s the private label puzzle—your “Store’s Best” organic apples need to match against competitors’ house brands, each with their own unique UPC. Throw in different sizes (4 Apples vs. 1Kg of Apples), regional product names (fancy naming for plain old arugula), and international brand variations (like the name for Sprite in the USA and China), and you’ve got yourself a complex matching challenge that would make conventional pricing intelligence providers sweat.

    Grocery Pricing Intelligence data faces a challenge when different naming conventions and languages are used in different geographies

    Custom Product Relationships for Consistent Pricing and Competitive Positioning

    Think like a shopper browsing the dairy aisle. You regularly buy your family’s favorite organic yogurt, the 24oz tub. But today, you notice the larger 32oz size is on sale – except the 24oz isn’t. As you stand there, confused, you wonder: Is the sale only for the bigger size? Did I miss a promotion? Should I buy the 32oz even though it’s more than I need?

    For shoppers, this inconsistent pricing across product variations creates a frustrating experience. Establishing clear relationships between related items in your catalog is essential for maintaining consistent pricing and a coherent competitive strategy.

    Grocery Pricing Intelligence data refinement involves Custom Product Relationships for Consistent Pricing and Competitive Positioning

    Start by linking products based on attributes like size, brand, and packaging. That way, when you adjust the price of the 32oz yogurt, the 24oz version automatically updates too – no more scrambling to ensure uniform pricing across your assortment. Similarly, products of the same brand but with flavor variations should be connected to keep pricing consistent.

    Taking this one step further, mapping your competitors’ exact and similar products is crucial for comprehensive competitive intelligence. Distinguishing between premium and private label tiers, national brands, and regional players gives you a holistic view of the landscape. With this understanding, you can hone your pricing strategies to maintain a clear, compelling position across your entire category lineup.

    Consistent pricing, whether across your own product variations or against competitors, provides clarity and accuracy in your overall competitive positioning. By establishing these logical connections, you avoid the customer confusion of seemingly random, inconsistent discounts – and ensure your pricing strategies work in harmony, not disarray.

    The Role of AI and Data Sciences in Data Refinement

    On the surface, linking products based on attributes like size, brand, and packaging seems like a no-brainer. But developing and maintaining the systems to accurately and automatically identify these connections? That’s a whole different animal.

    Think about it – you’re not just dealing with text-based product titles and UPCs. There are images, videos, regional variations, private labels, and a whole host of other data types and industry nuances to account for.

    Luckily, DataWeave is one of the few companies that’s truly cracked the code. Our multimodal AI models are trained to process all those diverse data formats – from granular product specs to zany regional produce names. And it’s not just about technology; we also harness the power of human intelligence.

    See, in the grocery world, category managers are the real decision makers. They know their shelves inside and out and can spot those tricky connections in product matching, especially when they are not UPC-based. That’s why DataWeave built in a Human-in-the-Loop (HITL) process, where their AI systems continuously learn from expert feedback. It’s a feedback loop that allows our customers to pitch in and keep product relationships accurate, reliable, and always adapting to new market realities.

    So while product mapping may seem straightforward on the surface, the reality is it takes some serious horsepower to do it right. Thankfully, DataWeave has both the technical chops and the grocery industry know-how to make it happen. Because when it comes to pricing intelligence, getting those product connections right is half the battle.

    3. Strategic Implementation: Turning Insights into Action

    The true value of pricing intelligence (PI) is realized through its strategic application. Although many view PI as a technical function, its strategic significance is increasing, particularly in the context of recent economic pressures like inflation. Here’s why:

    Tactical vs Strategic Use of Data: From Standard Reporting to Competitive Analysis

    Pricing intelligence has come a long way from the days of simply reacting to daily price changes. These days, it’s not just about firefighting—it’s about driving long-term strategy.

    You can use pricing data to make quick, tactical adjustments, like matching a competitor’s sudden price drop on milk. Or, you can leverage that same data to predict market trends, optimize your product lineup, and shape your overall pricing strategy. Retailers who take that strategic view can get out ahead of the curve, anticipating shifts instead of just chasing them.

    DataWeave supports both of these approaches. Our Standard Reporting tools give pricing managers the nitty-gritty details they need—current practices, historical patterns, and operational KPIs. It’s all the insights you’d expect for making those tactical, day-to-day tweaks.

    In addition, DataWeave offers something more powerful: Competitive analysis. This is where pricing intelligence becomes a true strategic weapon. By providing a high-level view of market positioning, competitor moves, and untapped opportunities, competitive analysis empowers leadership to make proactive, big-picture decisions.

    Armed with this broader perspective, retailers can start taking a more surgical approach. Maybe you need to adjust pricing zones to better meet customer demands. Or rethink your overall strategies to stay ahead of the competition, not just keep pace. It’s the difference between constantly putting out fires and systematically fortifying your entire pricing fortress.

    Beyond Pricing: Comprehensive Data for Broader Insights

    Pricing intelligence is just the tip of the iceberg. When you really start to refine and harness your data, the possibilities for grocery retailers expand far beyond simple price comparisons. Think about it – all that information you’re collecting on products, markets, and consumer behavior? That’s a goldmine waiting to be tapped. Sure, you can use it to keep a pulse on competitor pricing. But why stop there?

    What if you could leverage that data to optimize your product assortment, making sure you’re stocking the right mix to meet customer demands? Or tap into predictive analytics to get a glimpse of future market shifts, so you can get out ahead of the curve? How about using it to streamline your supply chain, identify availability inefficiencies, and get products to shelves faster?

    Sure, pricing intelligence will always be mission-critical. But when you couple it with these other data-driven insights, that’s when grocery retailing gets really interesting. It’s about evolving from a price-matching robot to a true strategic visionary, armed with the intelligence to take your business to new heights.

    Looking Ahead: The Future of Grocery Pricing Intelligence

    The grocery pricing landscape continues to evolve, driven by:

    • Integration of AI and machine learning for predictive pricing
    • Enhanced focus on omnichannel pricing consistency
    • Growing importance of personalization in pricing strategies

    Pricing intelligence isn’t just about having data—it’s about having the right data and knowing how to use it strategically. Success requires a comprehensive approach that combines robust data collection, sophisticated analysis, and strategic implementation.

    By embracing modern pricing intelligence tools and strategies, grocery retailers can navigate market volatility, maintain competitive positioning, and drive sustainable growth. The key lies in building a pricing ecosystem that’s both sophisticated enough to handle complex data and flexible enough to adapt to changing market conditions.

    Ready to transform your pricing strategy? Check out our grocery price tracker to get month-on-month updates on grocery prices in the real world. Contact us to learn how our advanced pricing intelligence solutions can help your business stay ahead in the competitive grocery market.

  • Cracking the Code: How Retailers Can Adapt to Plummeting Egg Prices in 2024

    Cracking the Code: How Retailers Can Adapt to Plummeting Egg Prices in 2024

    Virtually every cuisine in the world uses eggs. They’re in your breakfast, lunch, dinner, and dessert — which is perhaps why the global egg market is expected to generate $130.70 billion in revenue in 2024 and is projected to grow to approximately $193.56 billion by 2029.

    More specifically, the United States is the fourth-largest egg producer worldwide. The country’s egg market is projected to generate $15.75 billion in 2024 and increase to $22.51 billion by 2029.

    This growth is driven by several factors, most notably:

    • Health-consciousness among consumers: Consumers value eggs for their essential nutrients and rich protein content.
    • Demand for convenience foods: Consumers’ preferences are shifting toward quick and easy foods, which drives demand for shell eggs and pre-packaged boiled or scrambled eggs.
    • Population Growth: A growing worldwide population increases the demand for eggs.
    • Affordability and accessibility: Eggs are an affordable and accessible nutrient-dense food source for many.

    Despite these factors contributing to the U.S. egg market’s growth, recent times have seen egg prices fall dramatically.

    Based on a sample of 450 SKUs, DataWeave discovered that egg prices in the U.S. fell by 6.7% between April 2023 and April 2024, dipping to its lowest (-12.6%) in December 2023.

    Egg Price Chart: Egg Prices USA Going Down 98.95% between April 2023 and April 2024

    So, what’s causing the decrease in egg prices?

    The Rise and Fall of Egg Prices: A Recent History

    In 2022, avian influenza severely impacted the United States. The disease affected wild birds in nearly every state and devastated commercial flocks in approximately half of the country.

    The 2022 incident was the first major outbreak since 2015 and led to the culling of more than 52.6 million birds, mainly poultry, to prevent the disease from spreading uncontrollably.

    With almost 12 million fewer egg-laying hens, the United States produced around 109.5 billion eggs in 2022 — a drop of nearly two billion from the previous year.

    Consequently, the cost of eggs soared, peaking at $4.82 a dozen — more than double the price of eggs in the previous year.

    The avian flu continues to affect egg-laying hens and other poultry birds across the United States. As of April 2024, farms have killed a total of 85 million poultry birds in an attempt to contain the disease.

    Despite the disease’s effects, production facilities have made significant efforts to repopulate flocks, leading to a steady increase in supply – and a much anticipated decrease in egg prices.

    According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, there was an increase in producer egg prices in 2022, reaching a peak in November 2022, at which point they began to fall.

    Retailer’s egg prices followed suit. The egg price chart below depicts retailers’ declining egg prices over one year, from April 2023 to April 2024, with Giant Eagle showing the most significant price reductions and Walmart the least.

    Egg Price Chart Featuring Leading Retailers 2023-2024

    What Does the Future Hold for Egg Prices?

    The USDA reported recent severe avian flu outbreaks in June 2024. These outbreaks are estimated to have affected 6.23 million birds.

    With a reduction in egg-laying hens, egg prices are likely to increase — time will tell.

    Nonetheless, the annual per capita consumption of eggs in the U.S. is projected to reach 284.4 per person in 2024 from 281.3 per person in 2023. So for now, producers and retailers can rest assured of the growing demand for eggs.

    How Can Retailers Adapt to the Unpredictability of Egg Prices?

    Egg prices were down to $2.69 for a dozen in May 2024. However, they are still significantly higher than consumers were used to just a few years ago—eggs were, on average, $1.46 a dozen in early 2020.

    Additionally, while the avian flu puts pressure on producers, inflation and supply chain disruptions exert pressure on retailers.

    With such challenging egg market conditions, what can retailers do to maintain customer loyalty amid reduced consumer spending while maintaining profitability?

    1. Give the Customer What They Want: Increase Offerings of Organic, Cage-Free, and Free-Range Eggs

    As mentioned, Data Bridge Market Research’s trends and forecast report highlighted a significant increase in consumer health consciousness. Additionally, animal welfare increasingly influences consumers’ purchasing decisions when buying meat and dairy products.

    DataWeave data shows that the prices of organic, cage-free, and free-range eggs—such as those by brands like Happy Eggs and Marketside—have fallen less than those of non-organic, caged egg brands.

    Egg Price Chart Featuring Leading Egg Brand Prices 2023-2024

    2. Increase Private-Label Offerings

    Private labels typically offer retailers higher margins than national brands. These margins can shield consumers from sudden wholesale egg price swings, helping to preserve brand trust and consumer loyalty without sacrificing profitability.

    Moreover, eggs are particularly suited to private labeling, given their uniform appearance and taste and the lack of product innovation opportunities.

    Undoubtedly, this is why sales of private-label eggs dwarf sales of national egg brands in the United States. Statista reports that across three months in 2024, private label egg sales amounted to $1.55 billion U.S. dollars, while the combined sales of the top nine national egg brands totaled just $617.88 million U.S. dollars.

    3. Price Intelligently

    With the current and predicted fluctuations in egg prices over the foreseeable future, price competitiveness is paramount to margin management and customer loyalty.

    This is especially true when lower prices are the primary factor influencing the average consumer’s choice of supermarket for daily essentials purchases.

    AI-driven pricing intelligence tools like DataWeave give retailers valuable highly granular and reliable insights on competitor pricing and market dynamics. In today’s data-motivated environment, these insights are necessary for competitiveness and profitability.

    Final Thoughts

    Egg prices have fluctuated significantly due to the impact of avian flu. Despite recent price drops, future egg price increases are possible due to ongoing outbreaks. Retailers should adapt to unstable egg prices by increasing organic, free-range, cage-free, and private-label egg offerings while leveraging AI-driven pricing tools to maintain margins and customer loyalty.

    Speak to us today to learn more!

  • How Retailers and Brands Can Navigate Skyrocketing Olive Oil Prices in 2024

    How Retailers and Brands Can Navigate Skyrocketing Olive Oil Prices in 2024

    Olive oil, renowned for its complex flavor and myriad health benefits, holds a significant place in the global market, valued at $14.64 billion in 2023. It is anticipated to reach $19.77 billion by 2032, with a steady compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.42%.

    This growth is fueled by:

    • Increased consumer demand for healthier oils.
    • Olive oil’s rising popularity in skincare products.
    • Greater retail availability.

    Interestingly, this market expansion occurs alongside rising olive oil prices, mainly due to a notable decrease in production. Eight European Union countries, which are the main producers, saw a dramatic drop in output from an average of 2.17 million tons to just 1.50 million tons in 2022—a 30.88% decline. Unfortunately, this drop in production comes as no surprise.

    Erratic weather patterns, rising temperatures, and exacerbating drought conditions in the Mediterranean basin have taken their toll. These climate changes disrupt the growing cycles of olive trees, leading to poorer crop yields and lower-quality olives.

    In the US, where olive oil constitutes 19% of all cooking oils sold and 40% of sales value due to its premium pricing, the market is expected to grow at an impressive CAGR of 11.31% between 2024 and 2032. This forecast is significant despite a recent dip in domestic consumption, which may further decline due to economic pressures. As a result, consumers must make difficult choices as they battle inflation, shrinkflation, and thin budgets.

    DataWeave’s Analysis of Rising Olive Oil Prices

    At DataWeave, we utilized our advanced AI-powered data aggregation and analysis platform to scrutinize the pricing trends of olive oils across key US retailers over the past year. Our analysis covered 130+ SKUs from major chains including Walmart, Kroger, Giant Eagle, and Target.

    The data revealed a notable escalation in olive oil prices, with consumers facing a sharp 25.8% increase from April 2023 to April 2024.

    This trend of rising costs was consistent across all analyzed retailers. Specifically, Walmart and Giant Eagle each reported a substantial 30% increase in their olive oil prices over the past year. In contrast, Target and Kroger experienced somewhat more modest hikes, at 20% and 15% respectively.

    Further investigation into individual brands within our sample highlighted that no brand is immune to the impacts of the ongoing supply shortages. Walmart’s own Great Value brand saw an exceptional 60% surge in prices. Other prominent olive oil brands such as Carapelli, Terra Delysia, and Bertolli also faced significant price increases, ranging from 20% to 50%.

    This across-the-board rise in prices underscores the widespread effect of supply constraints on the olive oil market, affecting both premium and private label brands alike.

    What Strategies Can Retailers and Brands Employ?

    In a market where consumer preferences and price sensitivities are rapidly evolving, retailers and brands must adopt versatile strategies without compromising on profit margins.

    Diversifying Brand Selection

    Retailers can enhance their appeal by offering a diverse range of olive oil brands, thereby stimulating competition among brands based on price, quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction. A well-curated selection that includes well-known brands like Filippo Berio and Bertolli, alongside emerging labels such as Terra Delyss, and premium options like Carapelli, allows retailers to meet a wide array of consumer preferences and budgets.

    For premium outlets, it might be beneficial to introduce more economical options than typically offered to attract budget-conscious consumers. Employing advanced assortment intelligence tools can provide retailers with crucial data, helping them make informed decisions about which brands to stock and promote, ensuring they meet consumer demand effectively while managing inventory costs.

    Data-driven Pricing

    With rising olive oil prices, competitive pricing is more crucial than ever. Retailers must strive to balance competitiveness with margin preservation. It’s essential for retailers to not just passively respond to market price increases but to actively ensure that their offerings are competitively priced relative to the market.

    This involves using sophisticated pricing intelligence tools, such as those provided by DataWeave, which track market trends and competitor pricing actions. These tools enable retailers to implement dynamic pricing strategies that respond promptly to market conditions and consumer demand shifts, helping to optimize sales and profitability.

    Diversifying Sourcing

    The traditional powerhouses of olive oil production, Spain and Italy, are now facing stiff competition from countries like Turkey and Tunisia. This shift is influenced by various factors, including currency fluctuations and changing trade policies, such as the imposition of tariffs on European olive oils by significant importers like the US. Retailers can take advantage of these changes by diversifying their sourcing strategies to include olive oil from non-traditional regions.

    The 2022/2023 season saw remarkable production levels from countries outside the Mediterranean basin, with Iran and China setting new production records. By broadening their supply chains to incorporate these emerging markets, retailers can benefit from lower production costs and introduce unique products to their consumers, enhancing both competitiveness and profit margins.

    Double Down on Private Labels

    Large retailers have successfully used their scale to develop strong private-label brands that can buffer consumers from price hikes in the olive oil market. By focusing on expanding and promoting their private-label offerings, retailers can provide cost-effective alternatives to national brands.

    Private labels generally have lower price points, making them particularly attractive during times of economic pressure and market volatility. Additionally, the development of private labels allows retailers to control more of their supply chain, from pricing to packaging, enabling them to offer high-quality products at competitive prices, thereby retaining customer loyalty and enhancing market share.

    Navigating Market Pressures

    High olive oil prices impact the entire supply chain, presenting varied challenges and opportunities:

    • Producers benefit from higher revenues but face increased pressure to maintain quality and yields in challenging climates. Adapting to these conditions with sustainable practices is crucial.
    • Exporters and Importers navigate tighter margins and greater risks due to tariffs and volume restrictions, requiring agility and strategic planning to adapt to market changes.
    • Retailers must carefully balance competitive pricing with rising procurement costs, affecting consumer affordability and potentially leading to shifts in buying patterns.
    • Consumers may seek cheaper alternatives or reduce their olive oil consumption, which influences overall market demand and pricing stability.

    These dynamics underscore the necessity for retailers and brands to adopt innovative and proactive strategies to navigate the volatile olive oil market effectively. By focusing on adaptive pricing, diversified sourcing, and customer engagement, businesses can enhance their resilience and secure long-term success in this competitive landscape.

    To learn more, talk to us today!